Friday, December 21, 2007

Strong Social Networks

A well-written article (pdf) reports on the work by Oxford folks (previous post). Plus, it says that a "pair of Oxford physicists, Neil Johnson and Sean Gourley, have teamed up with social scientists at the Conflict Analysis Resource Center (CERAC), based in Bogotá"

"When the researchers graphed all the attacks within a given conflict, with the number of attacks plotted against the number killed in each, it produces a fat-tailed exponential curve. And the exponent of the function, which determines the curve’s shape, is nearly always the same. “Terrorism and guerrilla warfare everywhere in the world has a signature of about 2.5,” says Gourley. Plotting the distribution of these events over time produces another, distinctive signature.

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